Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Medic A. (Nor)


	Vålerenga		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.8	3.4
	1.88	3.7	3.4
	1.9	4	3.6	Watch
	1.97	3.83	3.53
	1.97	3.83	3.53
	1.91	3.7	3.25
	1.95	3.74	3.32
	1.89	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	3.43 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
48.4%

Draw
24.5%

Kongsvinger
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vålerenga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Vålerenga - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 18. Jukleroed S. 24. Strand P. 29. Ambina F. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 8. Bjordal H. 7. Riisnaes M. 19. Kamara O.	1. Stromberg A. (G) 2. Nilsson J. 5. Holme F. 3. Thorkelsson R. 22. Langrekken L. 20. Grundt J. 7. Taylor E. 6. Holter H. (C) 14. Haren L. 8. Moberg V. 11. Williams N.
Substitutes
5. Fasika I. 6. Hedenstad V. 3. Kjelsen A. 9. Rijks M. 27. Ronning A. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F.	17. Gjerstrom M. 9. Guven A. 18. Holtan J. 21. Lysgard D. 12. Mbow M. 19. Nielsen E. 48. Sandstad A. 31. Sayouba M. (G) 16. Trengereid M.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Holter H. ⚽, Haren L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Ambina F. 🟨,
63', Kamara O. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
63', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Grundt J. ⚽, Langrekken L. (A),
75', Moberg V. 🟨,
77', Haren L. ↓, Guven A. ↑,
80', Langrekken L. 🟨,
85', Jukleroed S. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
85', Strand P. ↓, Ronning A. ↑,
87', Nilsson J. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
90+4', Williams N. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Vålerenga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kongsvinger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vålerenga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.05.24	Aalesunds - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.05.24	Vålerenga - Hamarkameratene	3:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.05.24	Vålerenga - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.04.24	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.05.24	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Kongsvinger - Start	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Kjelsås - Kongsvinger	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.04.24	Levanger - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.02.18	Vålerenga - Kongsvinger	4:0
25.03.17	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	2:1
23.01.16	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	0:2

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