Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday


	Ægir		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.17	3.81	2.05
	3.2	3.5	1.91
	3.2	3.84	1.99	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.68)	1.97 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ægir
28.8%

Draw
24.7%

Thor Akureyri
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ægir - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ægir will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Thor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hannesson S. (G) 7. Braz I. 28. Cande B. 13. Cokic D. 11. Dabetic S. (C) 14. Gudbjartsson A. 6. Gudmundsson A. 19. Kjartansson A. 8. Punyed R. 10. Rolin C. 18. Sveinsson A.	1. Stefansson A. (G) 7. Brynjolfsson B. 17. Gislason F. 5. Kalermo A. 15. Kristjansson K. 6. Marteinsson K. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 11. Sorensen M. 9. Thorlaksson A. 30. Vidarsson B. (C)
Substitutes
45. Alomerovic B. 23. Bjelobrk D. 27. Eythorsson B. 16. Hardarson J. 17. Thrainsson T. 5. Viktorsson A. 25. Yanachkov I. (G)	21. Adalsteinsson D. 16. Arnarsson E. 22. Hjorvarsson N. 23. Kristjansson I. 14. Magnusson A. 4. Runarsson H. 12. Stefansson S. (G)

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Ægir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Thor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ægir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Ægir
Icelandic Division 1
02.08.23	Selfoss - Ægir	3:1 ✺
27.07.23	Ægir - Throttur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
21.07.23	Fjölnir - Ægir	5:1 ✺
16.07.23	Ægir - Njarðvík	1:0 ✺
12.07.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Ægir	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWL
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
02.08.23	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
25.07.23	Thor Akureyri - Grótta	3:1 ✺
22.07.23	Vestri - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
02.06.23	Thor Akureyri - Ægir	3:1
Icelandic Cup
16.05.17	Thor Akureyri - Ægir	0:1 penalties

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