Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 4 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)


	Thor Akureyri		Grótta

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.52	4.15	4.7	Watch
	1.55	4.4	4.84
	1.56	4.37	4.62	Watch
	1.5	4.33	4.75
	1.51	4.4	4.83	Watch
	1.55	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.86)	4.29 ↑ (3.7)	4.69 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
59.4%

Draw
21.2%

Grótta
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

17.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.

Grótta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grótta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grótta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Thor Akureyri - Grótta Predictions

Users Predictions: Thor Akureyri will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Arnason A. 24. Geirsson Y. 3. Hlynsson B. 15. Kristjansson K. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 11. Sorensen M. 9. Thorlaksson A. 7. Victor R. 30. Vidarsson B.	1. Danielsson R. (G) 4. Adalsteinsson A. 77. Arnason P. 12. Eyjolfsson G. 29. Jakobsson G. 19. Melsted K. 10. Petursson K. (C) 5. Petursson P. 27. Ratsiu T. 22. Shihab T. 11. Sigurdarson A.
Substitutes
21. Gunnarsson S. 14. Halldorsson E. 8. Hjaltason J. 2. Jonsson E. 23. Kristjansson I. 20. Ottosson V. 12. Valtysson A. (G)	15. Bragason R. 16. Haagensen K. 2. Helgason A. 31. Henriksen T. (G) 18. Josepsson A. 21. McShane H. 17. Robertsson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Kristjansson K. 🟨,
38', Petursson K. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Arnason P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Ragnarsson R. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Kristjansson K. ⚽,
67', Geirsson Y. 🟨,
69', Petursson K. ↓, Robertsson T. ↑,
69', Melsted K. ↓, Josepsson A. ↑,
69', Geirsson Y. ↓, Jonsson E. ↑,
69', Sigurdarson A. ↓, McShane H. ↑,
74', Thorlaksson A. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
74', Kristjansson K. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
78', Ratsiu T. ↓, Helgason A. ↑,
80', McShane H. 🟨,
87', Magnusson A. ↓, Hjaltason J. ↑,
88', Petursson P. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Victor R. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thor won 2.

Thor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grótta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Thor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Grótta have a series of home games.

In this match Thor is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Thor won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Thor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
30.06.24	IR Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Dalvík Reynir - Thor Akureyri	1:3 ✺
22.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
12.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLLL
- IF Grótta
Icelandic Division 1
30.06.24	Fjölnir - Grótta	5:2 ✺
26.06.24	Grótta - IR Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
19.06.24	Grótta - Njarðvík	2:3 ✺
13.06.24	Grótta - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:3 ✺
07.06.24	Grótta - Throttur Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
25.04.24	Grótta - Thor Akureyri	0:3
Icelandic Division 1
09.09.23	Grótta - Thor Akureyri	1:0
25.07.23	Thor Akureyri - Grótta	3:1
23.08.22	Grótta - Thor Akureyri	1:0
16.06.22	Thor Akureyri - Grótta	0:2
23.07.21	Thor Akureyri - Grótta	4:2
07.05.21	Grótta - Thor Akureyri	4:3

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