Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Étoile Carouge		Kriens

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.3
	1.87	3.8	3.26
	1.89	3.88	3.34
	1.87	3.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.87)	3.8 ↓ (3.86)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
48.6%

Draw
23.9%

Kriens
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

23.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Kriens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kriens than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Étoile Carouge - Kriens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio S. (G) 80. Oberli B. 27. Munishi H. 14. Hysenaj F. 11. Simbakoli U. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 24. Kursner R. 22. Rufli V. 10. Caslei B. 4. Magnin M. 25. Felder V.	22. Hunn L. (G) 17. Bender M. 29. Buhler M. 4. Fah M. 23. Hermann J. 6. Aversa L. 25. Gubinelli L. 3. Caserta F. 10. Ruedi M. 7. Riedmann L. (C) 20. Wicht C.
Substitutes
7. Correia O. 18. Diallo M. M. (G) 9. Eleouet A. 21. Fernandez R. 2. Matheus Silva 5. Mulliqi B. 29. Prats Barbaran C. D.	14. Chihadeh S. 21. Facal J. 19. Hoxha R. 15. Huruglica E. 18. Moises H. (G) 30. Nushi V. 5. Suter F.

Preview

Recent matches Étoile is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kriens is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Étoile will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Étoile won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
30.08.23	Étoile Carouge - Bavois	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cham - Étoile Carouge	2:4 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.08.23	Étoile Carouge - Sion	1:3 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
12.08.23	Bulle - Étoile Carouge	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Étoile Carouge - Paradiso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL
- SC Kriens
Swiss Promotion League
30.08.23	Cham - Kriens	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Kriens - Luzern II	1:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
19.08.23	Mendrisio-Stabio - Kriens	1:3 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
12.08.23	Kriens - Breitenrain Bern	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Bavois - Kriens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
15.04.23	Kriens - Étoile Carouge	2:0
08.10.22	Étoile Carouge - Kriens	0:2
30.04.16	Étoile Carouge - Kriens	1:5
10.10.15	Kriens - Étoile Carouge	0:0

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