The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ñublense 33.5%
Draw 28.4%
Everton de Viña 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
29.6%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
30.4%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ñublense's form might have worsened.
Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton de Viña's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ñublense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Everton de Viña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ñublense - Everton de Viña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 4. Bosso Torres O. 6. Calderon P. 27. Guzman V. 21. Reyes L. (C) 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. 19. Tapia I. 20. Jeraldino I. 7. Ovelar F.
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 8. Soto L. 37. Vidal V. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 14. Baeza N. 9. Alfaro J. 21. Berrios B. 7. Moya J. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 10. Medina A. 40. Montiel N.
Substitutes
26. Calderon E. 18. Cespedes D. 35. Mansilla C. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 10. Plaza M. 9. Rami F. 3. Salomon C. 16. Sanhueza D.
6. Charrupi G. 15. Fernandez V. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 4. Magallanes H. 29. Martinez B. 2. Opazo Lara O. 20. Ovalle J. 30. Palacios C. 19. Vega V.
Coaches
Ribera J.
Ribonetto W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Guzman V. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Medina A. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Tapia I. 🟨,
37', Rivera M. 🟨,
41', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Guzman V. ↓, Molina Canto L. ↑,
46', Rivera M. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
59', Tapia I. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
59', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
62', Calderon P. 🟨,
64', Ramos Aviles E. M. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
64', Alfaro J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
73', Campos Mosqueira F. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Ovelar F. ⚽, Molina Canto L. (A),
76', 1 - 2, Ovalle J. ⚽, Baeza N. (A),
88', Soto L. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
89', Baeza N. ↓, Magallanes H. ↑,
89', Montiel N. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
90+1', Bosso Torres O. 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 3, Medina A. ⚽, Martinez B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
In recent matches, Ñublense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Everton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Everton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Everton
23
10
6
7
37:25
12
36
8
Nublense
23
8
8
7
28:31
-3
32
Last Results with these Odds
Everton de Viña - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.93%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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Perez N. (G) 
Campos Mosqueira F. 
Calderon P. 
Ovelar F. 
Charrupi G. 
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