The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Örebro 11.5%
Draw 19.4%
Malmö 69.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.2%
20.8%
66%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
11.9%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-31.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
2.9%
67.6%
Örebro - Malmö Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Malmö will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 51.9% – 83.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Örebro has the most likely position - 16 (23.59%), has project points - 31, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Malmö has the most likely position - 1 (56%), has project points - 61, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (56%), has a good chance of win league (56%).
Recent matches Örebro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Malmö is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Malmö is absolute favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Örebro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20-35.
Including matches at home between the teams Örebro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-17.