Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Örgryte		AIK

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.40	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.50
	2.70	3.55	2.30
	2.73	3.61	2.58
	2.63	3.59	2.54	Watch
	2.60	3.45	2.60
	2.64	3.44	2.48	Watch
	2.60	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (4.29)	3.49 ↓ (3.85)	2.49 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
35.6%

Draw
26.9%

AIK
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

24%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

23.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Örgryte's performance.

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AIK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Örgryte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AIK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Örgryte - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). AIK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Örgryte (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Örgryte (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 2. Parker M. 14. Paulson D. (C) 8. Laturnus B. 23. Parker-Price O. 19. Andreasson A. 17. Hofvander W. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 17. Thychosen M. 3. Matthys H. 34. Olofsson W. 5. Bergquist L. 7. Mujanic A. 19. Besirovic D. 18. Ali A. 9. Carlstrand L. 29. Filling K. 11. Andersson V.
Substitutes
9. Andersson L. 16. Dahlqvist H. 29. Ebietomere M. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 34. Rahm A. (G) 26. Synnergren V. 15. Tibbling J. 7. Vindehall C.	47. Camara L. 46. Geiger Y. 16. Gustafsson S. 22. Helm A. 28. Jareteg L. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 42. Pukelis O. 41. Shilla M. 43. Staykov N.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Riveiro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Mujanic A. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
28', Filling K. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Carlstrand L. ⚽, Besirovic D. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Andreasson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Bergquist L. ↓, Helm A. ↑,
67', Ali A. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
67', Andersson V. ↓, Gustafsson S. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Gustafsson S. ⚽,
78', Paulson D. 🟥,
79', Sana T. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
79', Andreasson A. ↓, Tibbling J. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Carlstrand L. ⚽, Filling K. (A),
87', 2 - 4, Geiger Y. ⚽, Carlstrand L. (A),
88', Hofvander W. ↓, Ebietomere M. ↑,
88', Parker-Price O. ↓, Vindehall C. ↑,
90', Carlstrand L. ↓, Jareteg L. ↑,
90', Thychosen M. ↓, Staykov N. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 4, Tibbling J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 6).

Örgryte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AIK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Örgryte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AIK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Örgryte: Abukar A. (Knee Injury) Alm R. (Knee Injury) Andersson A. (Inactive) Lagerlund S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in AIK: Ayari T. (Calf Injury) Cisse I. (Ankle Injury) Edh E. (Hamstring Injury) Geiger Y. (Inactive) Hove J. (Yellow Cards) Kouame A. (Thigh Injury) Pavey C. (Groin Injury) Redkin A. (Knee Injury) Tomas D. (Inactive) Wilson O. S. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in AIK: Papagiannopoulos S. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

AIK: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36:40	-4	33
15	Orgryte	22	3	6	13	25:49	-24	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.26	AIK - Örgryte	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Västerås SK - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Örgryte - Djurgården	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Örgryte - Häcken	4:3 ✺
05.07.26	Kalmar - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WLTWL
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.26	AIK - Örgryte	0:3 ✺
27.07.26	Häcken - AIK	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	AIK - GAIS	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Mjällby - AIK	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	IFK Göteborg - AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.26	AIK - Örgryte	0:3
Svenska Cupen
19.02.22	AIK - Örgryte	2:0
01.03.20	Örgryte - AIK	0:1
02.03.19	AIK - Örgryte	1:0
10.03.13	Örgryte - AIK	4:1

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