Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Örgryte		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.12
	3.43	3.52	2.2
	3.34	3.53	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.1
	3.49	3.29	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.46)	3.38 ↓ (3.56)	2.11 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
27.8%

Draw
27.8%

Degerfors
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Örgryte's form might have worsened.

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Degerfors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örgryte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Degerfors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Örgryte - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Degerfors will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Degerfors: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Degerfors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Örgryte (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 1 - 50%). Degerfors (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 2. Parker M. 14. Paulson D. (C) 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Laturnus B. 19. Andreasson A. 17. Hofvander W. 15. Tibbling J. 22. Sana T.	38. Igonen M. (G) 14. Fritzson L. 15. Moro N. 16. Ohlsson S. 18. Diatara S. 20. Barsoum E. 4. Karlsson K. 13. Yiriyon G. 11. Vukojevic D. (C) 10. Rafferty M. 17. Taranis A.
Substitutes
3. Azulay J. 11. Christoffersson N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 29. Ebietomere M. 25. Hodzic D. 21. Kenndal W. 34. Rahm A. (G) 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C.	21. Berisson A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 22. Girmai N. 28. Hernandez J. 24. Leonardsson O. 12. Lindell E. 19. Lindgren A. 27. Salifu Z. 6. Sundgren D.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Solberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Tibbling J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Barsoum E. ↓, Leonardsson O. ↑,
61', Taranis A. ↓, Girmai N. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Yiriyon G. ⚽, Girmai N. (A),
70', Diatara S. 🟨,
73', Laturnus B. ↓, Christoffersson N. ↑,
73', Andreasson A. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
77', Parker M. 🟨,
79', Ohlsson S. ↓, Sundgren D. ↑,
83', Moro N. 🟨,
84', Sundgren D. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Sana T. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Tibbling J. ↓, Vindehall C. ↑,
89', Styffe C. ↓, Azulay J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Degerfors has had a series of home games.

Degerfors will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Örgryte: Abukar A. (Inactive) Alm R. (Injury) Nilsson M. (Inactive) Vindehall C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Degerfors: Diaby M. (Injury) Hussein B. (Inactive) Jakobsson W. (Inactive) Ohlsson S. (Injury) Pikkarainen J. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20:35	-15	20
15	Orgryte	22	3	6	13	25:49	-24	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.04.26	Örgryte - Brommapojkarna	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hammarby - Örgryte	8:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mjällby - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Örgryte - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Örgryte - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 LLWTW
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.26	Degerfors - AIK	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Degerfors - Sirius	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Degerfors - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
26.08.24	Örgryte - Degerfors	1:3
18.05.24	Degerfors - Örgryte	4:1
Svenska Cupen
18.02.24	Degerfors - Örgryte	5:0
Swedish Superettan
21.10.20	Degerfors - Örgryte	2:0
24.07.20	Örgryte - Degerfors	1:1
22.10.19	Örgryte - Degerfors	1:1
20.04.19	Degerfors - Örgryte	1:2

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