The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Örgryte 30.1%
Draw 27.2%
Mjällby 42.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.9%
25.9%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
24.6%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjällby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
12.5%
62.5%
Örgryte - Mjällby Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mjällby will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 18. Andersson A. 25. Hammar J. 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 2. Parker M. 23. Parker-Price O. 7. Vindehall C. 22. Sana T. (C) 8. Laturnus B. 32. Ekblom V.
35. Lundin A. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 24. Pettersson T. 25. Nielsen M. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 14. Granath V. 10. Kjaer J. 18. Bergstrom J.
Substitutes
9. Andersson L. 19. Andreasson A. 3. Azulay J. 29. Ebietomere M. 17. Hofvander W. 21. Kenndal W. 11. Obou D. 14. Paulson D. 34. Rahm A. (G)
39. Arrhenius R. 6. Enggaard M. 1. Hansen S. (G) 26. Hoffmann I. 29. Lindberg O. 23. Samuelsen A. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L. 9. Youssef A.
Coaches
Holmberg A.
Brannstrom A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Kjaer J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Dyrestam M. ⚽, Andersson A. (A),
23', Laturnus B. 🟨,
45+3', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Miettinen T. ⚽, Kjaer J. (A),
56', Vindehall C. ↓, Hofvander W. ↑,
56', Parker M. ↓, Paulson D. ↑,
64', Ekblom V. 🟨,
72', Kjaer J. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
72', Hammar J. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
72', Laturnus B. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
78', Ekblom V. ↓, Obou D. ↑,
85', Nielsen M. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
85', Granath V. ↓, Hoffmann I. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation - Superettan and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Örgryte (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Mjällby have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mjällby may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Örgryte: Abukar A.
(Knee Injury)
Alm R.
(Injury)
Svensson W.
(Foot Injury).
Confirmed absences for Mjällby: Dalsgaard V.
(Injury)
Stavitski T.
(Back Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Örgryte: Tibbling J.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Örgryte has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Örgryte against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Mjallby
26
6
8
12
30:43
-13
26
15
Orgryte
26
4
7
15
32:58
-26
19
Last Results with these Odds
Örgryte - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Mjällby - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Norway
Sweden
Watch
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Gustafsson H. (G) 
Dyrestam M. 
Parker M. 
Parker-Price O. 
Miettinen T. 
Iqbal A. 
Nielsen M. 
Hansen S. (G) 
Hoffmann I. 
Samuelsen A. 
Youssef A. 
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