Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 27

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV5
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	İstanbulspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6	4.33	1.47
	6.5	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.4	4.5	1.49
	6.69	4.66	1.5
	6	4.33	1.44
	6.47	4.68	1.52	Watch
	6	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↑ (5.35)	4.45 ↑ (4.3)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
14.9%

Draw
21.2%

Beşiktaş
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

21.8%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

21.1%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

İstanbulspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Arda A. (G) 23. Erdogan O. 6. Vorobjovas M. 13. Coly R. 7. Sambissa D. 34. Loshaj F. 99. Laurentino J. 66. Yasar A. (C) 19. Gultekin E. 12. Mamadou M. 9. Gedikli E.	34. Gunok M. (G) 4. Bulut O. 20. Uysal N. (C) 6. Colley O. 26. Masuaku A. 28. Al Musrati 83. Fernandes G. 11. Rashica M. 23. Muci E. 9. Tosun C. 90. Kilicsoy S.
Substitutes
28. Kirtas B. 5. Ozturk E. 20. Sahan O. 41. Samdanli T. 97. San E. A. 17. Sarialioglu E. A. 26. Serbest M. (G) 8. Temel V. 52. Topatar I. 4. Yesil M.	10. Aboubakar V. 12. Amartey D. 1. Destanoglu E. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 40. Muleka J. 2. Svensson J. 21. Tiknaz D. E. 8. Ucan S. 17. Worrall J. 22. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Santos F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

İstanbulspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beşiktaş is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

İstanbulspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beşiktaş is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
17.02.24	Antalyaspor - İstanbulspor	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	İstanbulspor - Gaziantep	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - İstanbulspor	2:0 ✺
29.01.24	İstanbulspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
19.02.24	Beşiktaş - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
08.02.24	Antalyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
04.02.24	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.11.23	Beşiktaş - İstanbulspor	Canceled
Turkish Super League
08.10.23	Beşiktaş - İstanbulspor	2:0
18.03.23	Beşiktaş - İstanbulspor	3:1
Club Friendly
29.11.22	Beşiktaş - İstanbulspor	4:0
Turkish Super League
17.09.22	İstanbulspor - Beşiktaş	2:2

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