Match Info

Super Lig - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Besiktas Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Beşiktaş		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.33	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.75	3.3
	1.71	4.08	4.08	Watch
	1.77	4.26	4.36
	1.74	4.22	4.14	Watch
	1.7	4	3.9
	1.84	4.51	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	4.16 ↑ (3.78)	3.91 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
53.2%

Draw
22.7%

Trabzonspor
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	19%	19%

Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 35. Djalo T. 33. Yilmaz R. 23. Asllani K. 18. Cerny V. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 15. Olaitan J. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu	24. Onana A. (G) 11. Tufan O. 74. Malkocoglu S. 27. Nwaiwu C. 14. Lovik M. 42. Inao Oulai C. 8. Bouchouari B. 22. Zubkov O. 10. Muci E. 9. Nwakaeme A. (C) 18. Nayir U.
Substitutes
22. Bulut T. 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 4. Ndidi W. 58. Ozcan Y. 52. Sahin D. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F. 11. Under C. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)	91. Alkurt E. Y. 80. Baskan B. 17. Cakiroglu O. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 82. Cubukcu Y. 90. Ertem O. 99. Felipe Augusto 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 30. Onuachu P. 88. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Yalcin S.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Onana A. ↓, Yildirim A. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Kokcu O. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Zubkov O. ⚽, Nayir U. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Muci E. ⚽, Zubkov O. (A),
70', Cerny V. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
75', Muci E. 🟨,
77', Muci E. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
90', Zubkov O. ↓, Baskan B. ↑,
90', Nwakaeme A. ↓, Cakiroglu O. ↑,
90+3', Yildirim A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Beşiktaş is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Beşiktaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Beşiktaş will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Kayra Yilmaz K. (Ankle Injury) Sazdagi G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baskan B. (Inactive) Batagov A. (Knee Injury) Eskihellac M. (Red Card) Pina W. (Yellow Cards) Savic S. (Muscle Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury) Yokuslu O. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Beşiktaş won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Cup
05.05.26	Beşiktaş - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.05.26	Gaziantep - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.26	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.26	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTWL
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
02.05.26	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Konyaspor - Trabzonspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 penalties ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.26	Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Alanyaspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:3
15.02.25	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	2:1
15.09.24	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	1:1
Turkish Cup
23.05.24	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	3:2
Turkish Super League
04.02.24	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	2:0
17.09.23	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:0
16.04.23	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	0:0

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