The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
İstanbulspor 53.1%
Draw 22.1%
Kasımpaşa 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
25.3%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
25.2%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbulspor's performance.
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasımpaşa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-21.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbulspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasımpaşa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
İstanbulspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 57.7% – 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:6
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Tutar A. (G) 2. Bahadir Y. 15. Fidan Y. 3. Aksu D. (C) 44. Ozer Y. 83. Dayakli I. 90. Mermerci D. 70. Ozcan S. 34. Loshaj F. 30. Cham A. 77. Krstovski M.
61. Albayrak E. (G) 80. Akcay S. 29. Aydin T. 55. Atakaya Y. 13. Aktas A. 81. Erdogan D. 42. Yigit E. 15. Suakar Y. 22. Inci Y. (C) 19. Yavrucu S. 23. Alkas S.
Substitutes
96. Akdag M. 25. Ates A. 21. Duhaney D. 93. Kurt U. 91. Polat Y. 97. San E. A. 35. Yitmez H. (G)
87. Ayes M. 83. Cetinkaya B. 88. Dogan K. 85. Ecin O. 98. Kazanci S. (G) 86. Ketahte E. 47. Muratoglu B. 24. Sehitoglu E. U. 84. Turali B. 82. Yildiz B.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.
Yilmaz B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Krstovski M. ⚽,
18', Ozcan S. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Krstovski M. ⚽,
40', Loshaj F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mermerci D. ↓, Ates A. ↑,
61', Akcay S. 🟨,
67', Erdogan D. ↓, Yildiz B. ↑,
70', Krstovski M. ↓, Duhaney D. ↑,
77', Aktas A. ↓, Ecin O. ↑,
77', Akcay S. ↓, Muratoglu B. ↑,
77', Alkas S. ↓, Ayes M. ↑,
81', Aksu D. ↓, Polat Y. ↑,
86', Bahadir Y. ↓, Kurt U. ↑,
86', Ozcan S. ↓, San E. A. ↑,
86', Inci Y. ↓, Turali B. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently İstanbulspor have a series of guest games.
In this match İstanbulspor is certain favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:15 (average 1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Kasımpaşa - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.