The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 53.6%
Draw 24%
Hatayspor 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
23.6%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
22.5%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
11.5%
13.5%
Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 65.9% – 89.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Claudio Winck 20. Opoku N. 5. Ciftpinar S. 58. Ozcan Y. 35. Kara A. (C) 12. Ben Ouanes M. 10. Hajradinovic H. 72. Barak A. 9. Brekalo J. 7. Fall M.
1. Kardesler E. (C) 99. Rivas R. 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 88. Sertel C. 5. Saglam G. 8. Massanga Matondo 6. Parmak A. 98. Boutobba B. 9. Aboubakar V. 77. Fernandes J.
Substitutes
13. Aktas A. 23. Alkas S. 55. Atakaya Y. 29. Aydin T. 8. Cafu 14. Espinoza J. 11. Keles C. 15. Suakar Y. 25. Yanar A. (G) 42. Yigit E.
7. Bamgboye F. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 78. Daduk E. (G) 27. Demir C. 31. Matur O. 14. Rui Pedro 23. Sarka B. 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 15. Yilmaz R. B.
Coaches
Keles H.
Sahin M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
8', Calvo F. 🟥,
15', 0 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Aboubakar V. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Sertel C. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Hajradinovic H. ⚽, Claudio Winck (A),
32', Saglam G. 🟨,
36', Kardesler E. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Kilama G. (Own goal),
45+6', Opoku N. 🟨,
45+11', 2 - 3, Aboubakar V. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 3 - 3, Kara A. ⚽,
55', Rivas R. 🟨,
58', 3 - 4, Aboubakar V. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
61', Ozcan Y. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
69', 4 - 4, Fall M. ⚽, Claudio Winck (A),
70', Saglam G. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
70', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
76', 5 - 4, Claudio Winck ⚽,
77', Rivas R. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
77', Aboubakar V. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
77', Fernandes J. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
78', Barak A. ↓, Cafu ↑,
78', Claudio Winck ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
88', Kara A. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.
Kasımpaşa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Hatayspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Kasımpaşa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Kasımpaşa is a favorite.
There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L.
(Yellow Cards)
Okoronkwo J.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Omeruo K.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Gianniotis A. (G) 
Claudio Winck 
Opoku N. 
Ciftpinar S. 
Ben Ouanes M. 
Hajradinovic H. 
Barak A. 
Brekalo J. 
Fall M. 
Rivas R. 
Kilama G. 
Calvo F. 
Saglam G. 
Massanga Matondo 
Boutobba B. 
Fernandes J. 
Espinoza J. 
Keles C. 
Bamgboye F. 
Bekaj V. (G) 
Strandberg C. 
