Match Info

Super Lig - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Göztepe		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	5	Watch
	1.73	3.54	4.67	Watch
	1.82	3.54	5.36
	1.78	3.51	4.86	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.75
	1.84	3.54	4.89	Watch
	1.81	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	4.86 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
53.4%

Draw
27.2%

Kasımpaşa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

29.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Göztepe - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (C) 3. Allan Godoi 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 30. Dennis A. 20. Miroshi N. 15. Cherni A. 11. Bekiroglu E. 39. Janderson 9. Juan Santos	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Arous A. 21. Frimpong G. 26. Demirbay K. 16. Baldursson A. F. 71. Kahveci I. C. 34. Diabate F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 19. Benedyczak A.
Substitutes
4. Altikardes T. 8. Antunes A. 77. Bayrak O. 14. Guilherme Luiz 19. Jeh 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 10. Krastev F. 6. Mohammed M. 33. Ozturk S. (G) 22. Yildiz U.	5. Aydin E. 29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 77. Gueye P. 6. Gultekin B. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 11. Kol A. 20. Opoku N. 23. Tosun C. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Juan Santos ⚽, Allan Godoi (A),
24', Juan Santos 🟨,
35', Kahveci I. C. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ben Ouanes M. ⚽, Kahveci I. C. (A),
45+3', Miroshi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Benedyczak A. ⚽,
57', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Antunes A. ↑,
57', Dennis A. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
58', Janderson ↓, Jeh ↑,
66', Kurtulan A. ↓, Bayrak O. ↑,
74', Gianniotis A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Krastev F. (Own goal),
82', 2 - 3, Jeh (Penalty Awarded),
84', Frimpong G. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
88', Benedyczak A. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Bokele M. ⚽, Juan Santos (A),
90+3', Bokele M. ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
90+4', Demirbay K. 🟨,
90+4', Demirbay K. 🟨,
90+6', Diabate F. ↓, Aydin T. ↑,
90+8', Winck C. 🟨,
90+10', Heliton 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Göztepe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Göztepe is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Göztepe: Bayir F. (Inactive) Koybasi I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cafu (Red Card) Frimpong G. (Hamstring Injury) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Göztepe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
17	Goztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
08.04.26	Göztepe - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Göztepe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Göztepe - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLT
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
04.04.26	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
08.11.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:2
30.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	1:2
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:5
Turkish Super League
13.01.25	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	5:0
05.03.22	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	2:3
17.10.21	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	1:2
28.02.21	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	1:0

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