Match Info

1. Lig - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3	Watch
	2.05	3.64	3.02
	2.12	3.75	3.04
	2.10	3.73	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)	3.62 ↓ (3.73)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
44.1%

Draw
25.4%

Sakaryaspor
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

24.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: İstanbulspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dogan I. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 32. Mermerci D. 24. Uzunhan E. 20. Sahan O. 7. Sambissa D. 6. Vorobjovas M. 10. Loshaj F. 66. Mamadou M. 77. Krstovski M. 9. Gultekin E. (C)	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 24. Dursun S. 4. Cakir B. 88. Erkin C. (C) 77. Erdogan E. 36. Altiparmak B. 8. Cihan M. 54. Coban B. 10. Kakuta G. 12. Ben Yedder W.
Substitutes
59. Arda A. (G) 2. Bahadir Y. 83. Dayakli I. 52. Duymaz O. F. 40. Erdal I. A. 70. Sahin C. 14. Sahin D. 31. Sandikci E. 99. Sol M. 8. Temel V.	3. Acil O. 11. Akuazaoku U. 34. Baytekin G. (G) 5. Ciftpinar S. 25. Demir A. 7. Demir M. 96. Kobiljar R. 22. Okumus A. 94. Tuzcu D. 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Avci M.	Sutlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Ben Yedder W. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Gultekin E. (Pen),
60', Mamadou M. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Dursun S. ⚽, Cihan M. (A),
62', Cihan M. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
72', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahin C. ↑,
72', Mermerci D. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
75', Kakuta G. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
75', Coban B. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
86', Krstovski M. ↓, Sandikci E. ↑,
86', Gultekin E. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
89', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
89', Erkin C. ↓, Okumus A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Yavuz S. (A),
90+6', 3 - 3, Duymaz O. F. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

İstanbulspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sakaryaspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

İstanbulspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

İstanbulspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
07.11.25	Bodrumspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Amed SK - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Igdirspor - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTL
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
08.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Vanspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Sakaryaspor - İnegölspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Adana Demirspor - Sakaryaspor	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.03.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:0
20.10.24	Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor	3:1

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