The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
İstanbulspor 25.4%
Draw 26.7%
Samsunspor 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
25.8%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
25.3%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbulspor's form might have worsened.
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
12.5%
43.7%
İstanbulspor - Samsunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
59. Arda A. (G) 7. Sambissa D. 23. Erdogan O. 4. Yesil M. 14. Deli S. 66. Yasar A. 24. Sarikaya M. 6. Vorobjovas M. 34. Loshaj F. 10. Rroca E. 19. Gultekin E.
1. Kocuk O. (G) 72. Tan M. 37. Satka L. 5. Ozturk A. 16. Bola M. 48. Antalyali T. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 11. Kilinc E. 21. Holse C. 13. Tait F. 99. Kara E.
Substitutes
13. Coly R. 11. Koylu K. 99. Laurentino J. 5. Ozturk E. 20. Sahan O. 41. Samdanli T. 26. Serbest M. (G) 8. Temel V. 52. Topatar I. 88. Traore D.
8. Aydogdu S. 88. Celik O. 22. Cift Y. E. 53. Deniz B. 28. Gonul S. 23. Gumuskaya M. 9. Marius 29. Szumski J. (G) 4. Van Drongelen R. 18. Yavru Z.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.
Gisdol M.
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 2.
Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Samsunspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
İstanbulspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Samsunspor will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.
Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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Arda A. (G) 
Sambissa D. 
Erdogan O. 
Deli S. 
Yasar A. 
Vorobjovas M. 
Loshaj F. 
Rroca E. 
Satka L. 
Bola M. 
Ait Bennasser Y. 
Holse C. 
Tait F. 
Kara E. 
Coly R. 
Koylu K. 
Laurentino J. 
Marius 
Szumski J. (G) 
