Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.80	1.71
	3.25	3.70	1.84
	3.93	4.87	1.70
	2.87	3.99	2.03	Watch
	3.60	4.40	1.60
	3.70	4.21	1.74	Watch
	3.32	3.7	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.79)	4.1 ↑ (3.79)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
26.3%

Draw
22.3%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Sliwka K. ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Paterek K. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 5th).

Łomża is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ząbkovia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ząbkovia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Łomża has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Łomża against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - ŁKS Łomża	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTT
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.09.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Weszło - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:4 ✺
19.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0
12.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - ŁKS Łomża	2:0

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