Match Info

Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Śląsk Wrocław		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.5
	1.65	3.8	4.65	Watch
	1.72	3.95	5.1
	1.62	4.22	4.74	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.7	3.78	4.6	Watch
	1.64	3.47	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.77 ↑ (3.47)	4.62 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
55.5%

Draw
24.5%

Pogoń Siedlce
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Śląsk (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 16. Kurowski K. 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 8. Llinares M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 15. Yriarte J. 14. Mokrzycki M. 91. Banaszak P. 11. Marjanac L.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 4. Misiak P. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 2. Mis K. 13. Podlinski K. 31. Dzieciol E. (C) 11. Famulak M. 27. Zbrog J. 10. Drag M. 39. Rosolek M.
Substitutes
77. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 10. Jambor T. 47. Klimek A. 38. Markowski D. 27. Rosiak M. 24. Sharabura Y. 26. Wojtczak O.	56. Demianiuk C. 22. Klimek P. 26. Kolodziejski M. 29. Niezgoda J. 41. Pakulski D. 16. Poczobut B. 7. Szuprytowski D. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Marjanac L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Zbrog J. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
61', Drag M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
63', Podlinski K. 🟨,
73', Marjanac L. ↓, Jambor T. ↑,
78', Rosolek M. ↓, Szuprytowski D. ↑,
81', Kurowski K. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
90+1', Dzieciol E. ↓, Niezgoda J. ↑,
90+3', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Markowski D. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 14).

Śląsk has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pogoń Siedlce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Śląsk is considered a favorite.

We predict that Śląsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
21.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	GKS Tychy - Śląsk Wrocław	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Wisła Kraków	Slask Wroclaw awarded ✺
28.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TW?WW
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
22.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3

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