Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.17	3.23	3
	2.24	3.14	3.1	Watch
	2.16	3.22	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)	3.2 ↑ (3.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
41.6%

Draw
28.5%

Tarxien Rainbows
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Djalo M. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 89. Fontanella M. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 22. Leonardi Z. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 23. Polidano Z. 55. Scicluna K. 28. Vinicius Paiva	94. Spiteri M. (G) 20. Borg L. 10. Claudio Murici (C) 29. Donsu K. 11. Erico Junior 6. Kuku A. 9. Lokosa A. 18. Mizzi S. 33. Musulin M. 23. Nhayson 54. Panic P.
Substitutes
2. Buhagiar K. 1. Colombo I. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 5. Forte M. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 18. Mota L. 31. Scicluna J. 30. Scicluna R.	22. Aguek M. 17. Bird N. 99. Bird T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 4. D'Alessandro M. 88. Gatt K. 77. Grima M. 70. Schmidt P. 7. Valverde A. 95. Vella A. (G) 21. Vella K.
Coaches
Agius G.	Scerri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Micallef J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Gambarte B. 🟨,
58', Erico Junior ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
61', Borg L. 🟨,
74', Lokosa A. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
79', Agius N. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
81', Donsu K. ↓, Aguek M. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
101', Fontanella M. 🟨,
105+1', Leonardi Z. 🟨,
108', 1 - 0, Majok A. ⚽,
117', Spiteri M. 🟨,
117', 2 - 0, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
117', Claudio Murici 🟨,
119', Mizzi S. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
119', Fontanella M. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
120+1', Claudio Murici 🟥,
120+2', Majok A. ↓, Etim A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 0.

Żabbar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tarxien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Żabbar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tarxien has had a series of home games.

Żabbar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
05.05.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ET ✺
30.04.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:3 ✺
15.04.26	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTTL
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
05.05.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ET ✺
30.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:3 ✺
14.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
05.05.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ET
19.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:3
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
24.11.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2
20.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
Maltese Challenge League
03.02.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1

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