Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Tarxien Rainbows		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.45	1.88	Watch
	3.17	3.82	1.95
	4.12	3.82	1.72	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.91
	3.43	3.53	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.78)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
26.1%

Draw
25.5%

Paola Hibernians
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

25.6%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.9%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tarxien will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hibernians will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Spiteri M. (G) 20. Borg L. 10. Claudio Murici (C) 29. Donsu K. 9. Lokosa A. 27. Mosquera Y. 33. Musulin M. 23. Nhayson 54. Panic P. 7. Valverde A. 74. Vella A.	1. Branescu L. (G) 4. Alfred S. 16. Charleston 20. Debattista M. 8. Halabaku K. 11. Kristensen B. (C) 15. Lima M. 9. Miullen 29. Norenkov D. 44. Pedrao 5. Shaw K.
Substitutes
22. Aguek M. 17. Bird N. 99. Bird T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 4. D'Alessandro M. 88. Gatt K. 77. Grima M. 18. Mizzi S. 70. Schmidt P. 21. Vella K. 8. Wesley Hudson	18. Abela L. 99. Akinbule S. 6. Caruana L. 7. Cleiton 10. Degabriele J. 23. Ellul M. 17. Hernandez R. 19. Muscat D. 30. Sacco H. (G) 14. Xuereb D. 13. Zammit A.
Coaches
Scerri J.	Agius A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Musulin M. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Miullen ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Charleston ⚽,
30', Musulin M. 🟨,
36', Vella A. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 2, Claudio Murici (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Shaw K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Pedrao 🟨,
61', 3 - 2, Valverde A. ⚽,
65', Lima M. ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
65', Debattista M. ↓, Cleiton ↑,
70', Alfred S. ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
78', Valverde A. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
80', Miullen ↓, Akinbule S. ↑,
82', Akinbule S. 🟨,
86', Claudio Murici ↓, Wesley Hudson ↑,
90+1', Musulin M. ↓, Aguek M. ↑,
90+2', Mosquera Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Hibernians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tarxien has had a series of home games.

Recently, Hibernians has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hibernians is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:50. (average 0.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tarxien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 6:31. (average 0.5:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
11.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLTL
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
10.04.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Naxxar Lions - Paola Hibernians	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
07.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1
12.12.25	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0
23.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	1:3
30.01.21	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0
30.09.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	0:1
18.01.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	0:4
28.08.19	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	4:1

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