The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Żabbar St. Patrick 22%
Draw 27.1%
Sliema Wanderers 51%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.2%
28.8%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
27.6%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żabbar St. Patrick's form might have worsened.
Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sliema Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żabbar St. Patrick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sliema Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 33. Agyeman A. 2. Brucic K. 10. Joao Mafra 21. Jovancic S. 15. Jovicic M. 22. Leonardi Z. 71. Melillo T. 16. Micallef J. 32. Moriceau T. 29. Vinicius Kanu
1. Bonello H. (G) 30. Alli W. M. 4. Camara D. 29. Cojocaru I. 28. Drobarov V. 11. Gambarte B. 15. Gustavo Alcino 17. Limbombe A. 40. Polley R. 23. Satariano A. 10. Teuma T.
Substitutes
11. Agius N. 39. Callus A. 77. Ellard A. 70. Fenech K. 89. Fontanella M. 18. Gouhon P. F. 91. Kacaj L. (G) 1. Leon S. (G) 4. Magri S. 23. Polidano Z. 31. Zerafa L.
77. Awad M. 20. Brincat Winters E. 27. Grima G. 14. Grima K. 33. Hijazi U. 18. Kouadio C. 31. Lauri F. (G) 13. Naudi J. 21. Radojevic M. 9. Robertha N. 5. Zammit D.
Coaches
Sormani A.
Nisevic B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Joao Mafra 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Cojocaru I. ⚽,
45+1', Jovancic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Agyeman A. ⚽,
55', Jovicic M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Cojocaru I. ⚽,
58', Joao Mafra ↓, Gouhon P. F. ↑,
67', 🟨,
67', Melillo T. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
67', Vinicius Kanu ↓, Fontanella M. ↑,
72', Camara D. 🟨,
73', Alli W. M. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
73', Gouhon P. F. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 2 - 3, Limbombe A. ⚽,
85', Camara D. ↓, Kouadio C. ↑,
88', Limbombe A. ↓, Robertha N. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).
Recent results have been tough for Żabbar (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sliema Wanderers has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sliema Wanderers carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Żabbar has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Żabbar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sliema
10
5
2
3
14:13
1
17
10
Zabbar ✔
10
3
2
5
12:16
-4
11
Last Results with these Odds
Żabbar St. Patrick - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Mohorovic P. (G) 
Agyeman A. 
Joao Mafra 
Jovancic S. 
Leonardi Z. 
Moriceau T. 
Alli W. M. 
Camara D. 
Cojocaru I. 
Drobarov V. 
Limbombe A. 
Ellard A. 
Fontanella M. 
Gouhon P. F. 
Kacaj L. (G) 
Awad M. 
Grima K. 
Robertha N. 
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