Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Gozo Stadium (Gozo)

Referee: Grech E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Tarxien Rainbows		Żabbar St. Patrick

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.1	2.28	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.48
	2.91	3.48	2.19	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.96	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.31)	3.12 ↓ (3.46)	2.35 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
31.7%

Draw
29.4%

Żabbar St. Patrick
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

24.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żabbar St. Patrick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Spiteri M. (G) 20. Borg L. 10. Claudio Murici (C) 29. Donsu K. 9. Lokosa A. 27. Mosquera Y. 33. Musulin M. 23. Nhayson 54. Panic P. 7. Valverde A. 74. Vella A.	1. Colombo I. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 8. Figueiredo B. 89. Fontanella M. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R. 28. Vinicius Paiva
Substitutes
17. Bird N. 1. Cassar A. (G) 4. D'Alessandro M. 11. Erico Junior 88. Gatt K. 77. Grima M. 18. Mizzi S. 70. Schmidt P. 95. Vella A. (G) 21. Vella K. 8. Wesley Hudson	2. Buhagiar K. 99. Djalo M. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 20. Micallef L. 18. Mota L. 23. Polidano Z.
Coaches
Scerri J.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fontanella M. ⚽,
21', Claudio Murici (Penalty Awarded),
44', 0 - 2, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 2, Musulin M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Lokosa A. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Schmidt P. ⚽,
68', 2 - 3, Leonardi Z. ⚽,
70', Cejas P. ↓, Majok A. ↑,
70', Agius N. ↓, Micallef J. ↑,
71', Musulin M. ↓, Erico Junior ↑,
71', Borg L. ↓, Grima M. ↑,
79', Panic P. 🟨,
81', 3 - 3, Nhayson ⚽,
84', Figueiredo B. ↓, Im Y. W. ↑,
86', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Tarxien have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Żabbar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tarxien has had a series of home games.

Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.

Żabbar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tarxien won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
14.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTLT
- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
15.04.26	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta	5:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
24.11.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2
20.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
Maltese Challenge League
03.02.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1

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