Match Info

Challenge League - Round 10

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Vittoriosa Stars

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.48	Watch
	5.17	4.33	1.5	Watch
	5.75	3.75	1.44
	5.92	4.12	1.5
	5.33	3.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (3.48)	3.97 ↑ (3.87)	1.48 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
16.3%

Draw
22.7%

Vittoriosa Stars
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

24.4%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

21.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żebbuġ Rangers's form might have worsened.

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vittoriosa Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żebbuġ Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vittoriosa Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Caruana A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, Boakye S. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Attard J. (Own goal),
70', 0 - 4, Senna Azzopardi A. ⚽,
82', Falzon D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Żebbuġ has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vittoriosa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Żebbuġ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vittoriosa is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żebbuġ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Żebbuġ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Balzan - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:0 ✺
11.12.25	Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Gudja United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
30.11.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
07.02.21	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0
22.10.20	Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1
15.12.19	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1
17.02.19	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1
30.09.18	Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:2

Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide