Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Vittoriosa Stars		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.27	3.43	2.67
	2.3	3.51	2.68	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.28	3.34	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 (2.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.51)	2.63 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
39.1%

Draw
26.8%

Santa Lucia
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Santa Lucia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-2%)

Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Cloth J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Ayobami J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
11	Santa Lucia	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTT
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	St. Andrews - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Santa Lucia - Melita	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	0:2
09.12.18	Santa Lucia - Vittoriosa Stars	0:0

Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide