Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 27

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Žalgiris		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.40	2.80
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	2.13	3.65	3.21
	2.1	3.52	3.23	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.1
	2.05	3.34	3.19	Watch
	2.11	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	3.06 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
43.5%

Draw
26.8%

Banga Gargždai
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 13. Upstas K. 5. Turda G. 4. Koy Lupano D. 21. Franke D. 7. Mihajlovic N. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 10. Golubickas P. 70. Teixeira B. 20. Lytvynenko I. 19. Bilenkyi S.	14. Krynskyi V. (G) 27. Henning R. 6. Simao J. (C) 3. Malzinskas D. 51. Cadu 11. Filipavicius R. 21. Praleika S. 45. Sato M. 10. Magdusauskas V. 99. Olugbogi A. 77. Venckus I.
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 15. Bosancic P. 6. Capan M. 9. Jarusevicius G. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 1. Olses C. (G) 11. Petkovic N. 14. Setkus M. 16. Usavicius J. 27. Vareika M. 22. Verbickas O.	22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 9. Appiah A. 30. Cande U. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 28. Lukas D. 7. Norvilas D. 55. Sheriff M. 44. Vaicekauskas D. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)
Coaches
Skerla A.	Marques Afonso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Simao J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Kendysh Y. ⚽, Bilenkyi S. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Venckus I. ⚽, Magdusauskas V. (A),
41', Turda G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Magdusauskas V. ⚽,
56', Golubickas P. ↓, Vareika M. ↑,
56', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Filipavicius R. ⚽,
70', Upstas K. ↓, Setkus M. ↑,
70', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Capan M. ↑,
76', Vareika M. 🟨,
77', Olugbogi A. ↓, Cande U. ↑,
77', Venckus I. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
78', Capan M. 🟨,
85', Filipavicius R. ↓, Norvilas D. ↑,
86', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Sheriff M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Vareika M. ⚽,
90+1', Sato M. ↓, Vaicekauskas D. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Banga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Žalgiris might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:16. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44
5	Banga	28	11	8	9	32:28	4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Hajduk Split - Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
06.08.26	Žalgiris - Hajduk Split	2:5 ✺
30.07.26	Žalgiris - Dinamo Tbilisi	7:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
19.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Transinvest - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	3:0
17.04.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:1
13.09.25	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	0:2
04.07.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:0
03.05.25	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	2:0
15.03.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:1
Lithuanian Super Cup
22.02.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	3:2 penalties

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