Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1


	Žalgiris		Paphos

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.75	3.2	2.55
	2.76	3.07	2.65
	2.86	3.13	2.53	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.75
	2.75	3.18	2.56
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.44)	3.17 ↑ (3.17)	2.57 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
34.6%

Draw
29.3%

Paphos
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	18.5%	25.9%

Žalgiris - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Paphos will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Tordai A. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 26. Zahary Y. 77. Kendysh Y. 7. Bopesu J. 22. Verbickas O. (C) 17. Matulevicius G. 8. Karashima Y. 10. Golubickas P. 80. Antal L. 2. Fofana A.	1. Ivusic I. (G) 7. Bruno 6. Pelagio P. 5. Goldar D. 3. Melluso M. 25. Name M. 30. Dragomir V. 24. Valakari O. 88. Pepe 22. Tankovic M. 10. Jairo (C)
Substitutes
56. Aliukonis J. (G) 15. Hodzic A. 12. Larsson J. 1. Markovic D. (G) 44. Matyzonok P. 18. Mazur M. 71. Mihajlovic N. 11. Petkovic N. 41. Setkus M.	33. Anderson Silva 34. Dall'Igna D. 80. Efzona C. 70. Ilia M. 11. Jaja 81. Kolotas G. 23. Luckassen D. 93. Michail N. (G) 2. Pileas K. 45. Rafael 83. Theodoulou P. (G)
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Antal L. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Antal L. ⚽, Bopesu J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Pelagio P. 🟨,
61', Golubickas P. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Jairo ⚽,
66', Valakari O. ↓, Jaja ↑,
66', Pelagio P. ↓, Luckassen D. ↑,
69', Antal L. ↓, Hodzic A. ↑,
69', Fofana A. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
76', Melluso M. ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
87', Jairo ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
87', Pepe ↓, Dall'Igna D. ↑,
88', Golubickas P. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
90', Larsson J. 🟨,
90+5', Hodzic A. 🟨,
90+6', Dall'Igna D. 🟨,
90+8', Karashima Y. ↓, Mazur M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Žalgiris have a series of guest games.

Recently Paphos have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Žalgiris - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
11.07.24	VPS Vaasa - Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.24	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW
- Paphos FC
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Paphos - Elfsborg	2:5 ✺
11.07.24	Elfsborg - Paphos	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Paphos - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
28.06.24	Paphos - Ilirija Ljubljana	5:0 ✺
23.06.24	Paphos - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWW

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