Match Info

I Lyga - Round 25

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.70	1.66
	4.60	3.65	1.60
	4.66	3.90	1.63
	4.76	3.91	1.6	Watch
	4.60	3.85	1.54
	4.27	3.96	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (4.52)	3.83 ↑ (3.65)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
20.2%

Draw
23.7%

Babrungas Plungė
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

24.8%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

22.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babrungas Plungė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1.

Žalgiris 2 arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Babrungas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Babrungas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Babrungas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Žalgiris 2 has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:16 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Žalgiris 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
6	Zalgiris 2	25	13	4	8	38:32	6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
12.09.26	Tauras Tauragė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Transinvest 2	4:3 ✺
14.08.26	FA Šiauliai B - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 WWWWW
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
11.09.26	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0
25.07.25	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1
16.03.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:2
12.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:1
23.03.23	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0
12.10.22	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0
08.04.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:0

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