Match Info

I Lyga - Round 24

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Babrungas Plungė		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.60	3.80
	1.82	3.55	3.4
	1.74	3.84	3.6
	1.86	3.84	3.37	Watch
	1.7	3.75	3.35
	1.75	3.65	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	3.57 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
50.8%

Draw
24.2%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Babrungas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Babrungas is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:4. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
04.09.26	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWL
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
05.09.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
19.09.25	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0
17.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
08.11.24	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:0
21.06.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	0:2
10.07.22	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	7:1
18.03.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	0:1

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