Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 10

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Riteriai 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.2	3.25	2
	3.02	3.3	2.1
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.05	3.54	2.1
	3.05	3.4	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.51)	3.31 ↑ (3.19)	2.09 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
29.7%

Draw
27.2%

Riteriai 2
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris Vilnius 2's form might have worsened.

Riteriai 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riteriai 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Žalgiris Vilnius 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai 2 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riteriai 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Žalgiris 2 won 3.

Žalgiris 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Riteriai 2 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Žalgiris 2 won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
13.05.23	Transinvest - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
01.05.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:3 ✺
21.04.23	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	1:4 ✺
10.04.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Riteriai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
14.05.23	Riteriai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Garliava - Riteriai 2	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Riteriai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Minija Kretinga - Riteriai 2	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Riteriai 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
12.08.22	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:2
03.04.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	1:1
03.08.21	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:2
05.04.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	3:1
18.09.20	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	2:0
24.07.20	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:3
13.08.19	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:3

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