Match Info

I Lyga - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Žalgirio stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	3.75
	1.55	4.15	4.35	Watch
	1.6	4.17	4.13
	1.75	4.52	3.41	Watch
	1.56	4.15	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	4.14 ↑ (4.13)	4.05 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
55.6%

Draw
22%

Nevėžis
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

22%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

18.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris Vilnius 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nevėžis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Cekavicius D. (G) 3. Aleksa D. 60. Baksys T. (C) 27. Berenta V. 24. Burba M. 33. Klimavicius N. 16. Kontautas K. 35. Mikelaitis G. 83. Soja A. 70. Valukonis M. 40. Zederstreimas G.	1. Urbonas E. (G) 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 32. Shaibu V. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 4. Soroka R. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
89. Alfieri A. 81. Demidov A. 98. Jakubovskis D. (G) 66. Kurec D. 38. Kursevicius R. 36. Uldukis O. 39. Velicka D.	28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 91. Petkevicius M. 47. Veldman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Klimavicius N. 🟨,
25', Zuperka R. A. 🟨,
36', Baksys T. 🟨,
36', Burba M. 🟨,
37', Cekavicius D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1.

In recent matches, Žalgiris 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nevėžis is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Žalgiris 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Žalgiris 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 1.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1.4:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.25	Tauras Tauragė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	3:3 ✺
25.07.25	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Transinvest	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLWL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.25	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4
31.08.23	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:1
14.04.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	1:4
08.10.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	2:3
02.06.22	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	7:1
05.06.20	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1
18.06.19	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1

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