Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.87	3.49	4.62
	1.30	5.23	8.53	Watch
	1.81	3.51	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.91)	3.73 ↑ (3.24)	5.04 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
55.3%

Draw
25.7%

Covilhã
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União de Santarém's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

União de Santarém - Covilhã Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hidalgo N. (G) 19. Silva R. 14. Simoes J. 79. Marcante E. 3. Joao Ricardo 6. Nanco I. 16. Grilo M. (C) 49. Castro T. 11. Goncalves E. F. 9. Eberth 10. Madeira T.	31. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 26. Balsa C. 24. Loureiro G. 33. Calegari A. 2. Candido 20. Ferreira R. (C) 6. Barbosa A. 8. Coelho R. 22. Gomes Silva E. 96. Jailson 99. Niang C.
Substitutes
17. Aguas G. 31. Denivys (G) 24. Medalli N. 7. Mendes J. 15. Midoes R. 76. Ramos D. 5. Rodeia M. 29. Teixeira R. 20. Ventura B.	14. Brito P. 19. Cruz F. 21. Cunha V. 55. Garcia F. 74. Igreja T. (G) 78. Peixoto R. 13. Ribeiro P. 77. Silva M. 5. Tiago Caveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Eberth ⚽, Joao Ricardo (A),
23', Marcante E. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
33', Loureiro G. ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
43', Barbosa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Barbosa A. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
61', Jailson ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
66', Nanco I. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
66', Castro T. ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
70', Niang C. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Niang C. ⚽,
75', Grilo M. 🟨,
83', Coelho R. ↓, Cunha V. ↑,
84', Eberth ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
85', Silva R. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Santarém is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
17.08.25	Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém	0:4 ✺
25.04.25	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Caldas - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.25	Covilhã - 1 Dezembro	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Caldas - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Caldas - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.25	Covilhã - Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
29.03.25	União de Santarém - Covilhã	1:2
09.03.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	0:1
25.01.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	3:1
26.10.24	União de Santarém - Covilhã	0:1

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