The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
12 de Octubre 26.9%
Draw 29%
Guaraní Asuncion 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
30.4%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
30.3%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 12 de Octubre's form might have worsened.
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaraní Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 12 de Octubre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
17.9%
67.9%
12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Guaraní will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 50.6% – 85.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1.
12 de Octubre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Guaraní is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently 12 de Octubre have a series of home games.
Guaraní will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 15 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-30.
Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.