Match Info

Copa Paraguay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Nacional Asuncion		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.65	6.9
	1.41	4.51	6.90	Watch
	1.33	4.65	7.55	Watch
	1.38	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	4.58 ↓ (4.75)	6.99 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
67%

Draw
19.9%

12 de Octubre
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

19.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rojas S. (G) 10. Arrua C. (C) 5. Benitez G. 20. Benitez H. 19. Caceres D. 23. Espinola C. 39. Gonzalez J. 40. Jara F. 2. Maciel A. R. 13. Meza L. 27. Prieto R.	12. Reyes R. (G) 16. Acosta L. 2. Argana M. 13. Barrios J. 20. Bedoya S. 14. Fernandez L. 17. Figueredo C. 5. Leguizamon M. 7. Mosqueda R. 3. Navarro G. (C) 6. Salinas K.
Substitutes
6. Alfaro J. F. 11. Almeida M. 7. Bailone I. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 14. Nunez C. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 18. Valdez I.	8. Benitez J. 18. Gonzalez M. 10. Nunez J. 11. Pacher F. 4. Riquelme M. 1. Solari A. 9. Vera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Benitez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
52', Arrua C. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
53', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
68', Benitez H. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
68', Meza L. ↓, Alfaro J. F. ↑,
71', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Valdez I. ⚽,
90', Prieto R. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.

Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:14. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.25	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
06.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.10.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.09.25	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWW
- 12 de Octubre FC
Copa Paraguay
01.10.25	12 de Octubre - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
02.09.25	12 de Octubre - Guarani de Fram	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.09.23	Independiente Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
15.09.23	12 de Octubre - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Atyrá - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:0
25.07.22	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	1:2
10.05.22	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	1:2
25.02.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2
25.09.21	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:1
17.07.21	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	2:2
30.05.21	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	2:2

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