The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General Caballero JLM 21.6%
Draw 28.1%
Guaraní Asuncion 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.3%
26.5%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
22.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
5.3%
94.7%
General Caballero JLM - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
Guaraní Asuncion will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guaraní Asuncion will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Guillen L. (G) 5. Caceres L. 14. Rodas A. 16. Gonzalez J. 6. Mareco M. 32. Vega G. 10. Arce S. (C) 28. Franco J. 8. Torales S. 30. Diaz E. 9. Gonzalez C.
30. Perez A. (G) 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 3. Barbotte A. 4. Zaracho S. 15. Servin T. 7. Manzur A. 36. Martinez L. 11. Rodriguez D. 40. Fernandez F. 32. Jhon Sanchez 9. Ramirez I.
Substitutes
25. Aguilera A. D. 22. Arguello V. 18. Armoa J. 27. Fernandez E. 7. Ferreira M. 29. Gimenez O. 21. Schabus M. 12. Tales (G) 15. Villalba V.
29. Alfonso O. 31. Arzamendia M. (G) 26. Fernandez D. 22. Gomez L. 5. Lopez M. 8. Maiz A. 10. Mendieta W. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 24. Patino Martinez J. 35. Pereira A. 37. Perez D. 17. Torales R.
Coaches
Ovelar H.
Bernay V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Caceres L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. (Own goal),
43', Fernandez F. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramirez I. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
49', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
52', Arce S. 🟨,
65', Diaz E. ↓, Schabus M. ↑,
65', Vega G. ↓, Armoa J. ↑,
70', Rodriguez D. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
73', Caceres L. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
77', Manzur A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
78', Torales R. 🟨,
82', Torales S. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
82', Franco J. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Torales R. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 0.
General Caballero is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guaraní has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Guaraní is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:1).