Match Info

Date: 20 May 2021, Thursday


	12 de Octubre		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.1	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.32	3.3	3.22
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.19	3.24	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (3.08)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	3.12 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
41.5%

Draw
28.9%

San Lorenzo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

19%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 12 de Octubre's performance.

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches 12 de Octubre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Lorenzo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

12 de Octubre will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.21	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.05.21	12 de Octubre - Huachipato	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.04.21	12 de Octubre - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLTW
- San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana
12.05.21	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Racing - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	San Lorenzo - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre	1:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	0:1
13.08.20	12 de Octubre - San Lorenzo	1:0
24.01.20	San Lorenzo - 12 de Octubre	1:0

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