Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz (Asunción)


	Libertad Asuncion		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	7.5
	1.3	4.8	7.75
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.3	5	8.4
	1.33	5.16	10.88
	1.42	3.9	7	Watch
	1.3	5.05	8.7	Watch
	1.3	5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	4.8 ↑ (4.06)	8.33 ↑ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
69.8%

Draw
19.1%

12 de Octubre
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.6%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Asuncion's performance.

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 4.

Recent matches Libertad is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

12 de Octubre has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Libertad is absolute favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Libertad won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.10.22	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
28.09.22	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.09.22	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
14.09.22	Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.09.22	12 de Octubre - Atlético Tembetary	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.09.22	12 de Octubre - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
20.09.22	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.22	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	1:3
23.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:0
05.02.22	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	1:6
30.10.21	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	0:1
15.08.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:3
09.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:1
05.03.21	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	2:1

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