Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	1461 Trabzon		Somaspor

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.05
	1.66	4.17	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	4.21	3.49	Watch
	1.38	4.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.37)	3.9 ↓ (4.38)	4.4 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1461 Trabzon
55.6%

Draw
23.5%

Somaspor
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.6%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19.8%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1461 Trabzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 1461 Trabzon's form might have worsened.

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 1461 Trabzon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Somaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

1461 Trabzon - Somaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Somaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Somaspor (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Somaspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Caliskan O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

1461 Trabzon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Somaspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

1461 Trabzon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, 1461 Trabzon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 1461 Trabzon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, 1461 Trabzon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Trabzon FK	5	2	1	2	10:8	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.02.26	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - 1461 Trabzon	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	1461 Trabzon - Mardin 1969	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Fethiyespor - 1461 Trabzon	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	1461 Trabzon - Guzide Gebzespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.02.26	Mardin 1969 - Somaspor	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Aliaga - Somaspor	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Somaspor - Muş Spor	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Somaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Somaspor - Fethiyespor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
12.10.25	Somaspor - 1461 Trabzon	0:3
01.05.22	1461 Trabzon - Somaspor	3:1

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