Match Info

3. Liga - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.82	3.6	2.25
	2.59	3.67	2.59
	2.86	3.77	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.83	3.42	2.2	Watch
	3	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.34)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	2.26 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
33%

Draw
26.1%

Verl
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 1860 München's form might have worsened.

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 1860 München, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

1860 München - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Verl will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - 1860 München (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dahne T. (G) 25. Dulic S. 16. Reinthaler M. 18. Jakob K. 29. Rittmuller M. 26. Maier P. 5. Jacobsen T. (C) 41. Lippmann C. 8. Philipp D. 34. Hobsch P. 7. Niederlechner F.	1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 8. Waidner D. 6. Eze J. 30. Gayret T. 10. Taz B. 28. Otto Y. 23. Besio A.
Substitutes
20. Althaus S. 40. Bachmann P. (G) 2. Danhof T. 23. Dordan D. 33. Fassmann L. 43. Fuchs F. 27. Pfeifer M. 9. Steinkotter J. 30. Wolfram M.	9. Arweiler J. 21. Knost T. 3. Kohler E. 27. Onuoha C. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 11. Steczyk D. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Mhamdi O. ⚽, Taz B. (A),
16', Jacobsen T. 🟨,
45', Reinthaler M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Mhamdi O. 🟨,
55', Jacobsen T. 🟨,
68', Niederlechner F. ↓, Wolfram M. ↑,
68', Rittmuller M. ↓, Danhof T. ↑,
73', Otto Y. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Besio A. ⚽, Eze J. (A),
80', Maier P. 🟨,
81', Besio A. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
81', Maier P. ↓, Althaus S. ↑,
82', Hobsch P. ↓, Steinkotter J. ↑,
87', Mhamdi O. ↓, Stocker M. ↑,
87', Kijewski N. ↓, Knost T. ↑,
87', Gayret T. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
89', Otto F. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	1860 München - Schweinfurt	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Jahn Regensburg - 1860 München	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	TSV Havelse - Verl	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Verl - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Viktoria Köln - Verl	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Verl - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.25	Verl - 1860 München	2:2
14.12.24	1860 München - Verl	0:4
24.02.24	Verl - 1860 München	0:1
30.09.23	1860 München - Verl	1:0
19.02.23	1860 München - Verl	0:3
13.08.22	Verl - 1860 München	0:1
04.03.22	1860 München - Verl	2:0

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