Match Info

3. Liga - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	BR Fernsehen, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		1860 München

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.58	3.65	2.38
	2.67	3.88	2.42
	2.57	3.86	2.37	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.5	3.54	2.34	Watch
	2.5	3.66	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.32)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	2.37 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
36.1%

Draw
25.1%

1860 München
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Ingolstadt - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 7 - 70%). 1860 München will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - 1860 München (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eisele K. (G) 2. Hoppe M. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 7. Sturm Y. 14. Plath M. 22. Costly M. 17. Besuschkow M. 10. Kaygin D. 24. Christensen G. 30. Drakulic O.	21. Dahne T. (G) 25. Dulic S. 16. Reinthaler M. 3. Voet S. 29. Rittmuller M. 26. Maier P. 5. Jacobsen T. (C) 41. Lippmann C. 31. Volland K. 34. Hobsch P. 22. Haugen S.
Substitutes
9. Borchers M. 11. Christensen F. 4. Decker E. 34. Frode L. 47. Klein D. (G) 23. Maljojoki J. 42. Ozden M. 39. Ozturk B. 33. Sekulovic D.	20. Althaus S. 40. Bachmann P. (G) 13. Christiansen M. 2. Danhof T. 33. Fassmann L. 18. Jakob K. 7. Niederlechner F. 8. Philipp D. 9. Steinkotter J.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Kauczinski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Voet S. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Kaygin D. ⚽, Drakulic O. (A),
23', Volland K. 🟨,
41', Kaygin D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽, Hobsch P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, Hobsch P. ⚽,
62', Drakulic O. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
68', Volland K. 🟨,
71', Maier P. 🟨,
77', Kaygin D. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
81', Frode L. 🟨,
82', Haugen S. ↓, Christiansen M. ↑,
82', Hobsch P. ↓, Niederlechner F. ↑,
85', Hoppe M. ↓, Maljojoki J. ↑,
85', Plath M. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
86', Sturm Y. ↓, Ozturk B. ↑,
90', Rittmuller M. 🟨,
90+3', Lippmann C. ↓, Jakob K. ↑,
90+10', Jakob K. 🟨,
90+11', Ozturk B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.

Ingolstadt has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

1860 München is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

1860 München - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
07.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLL
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
06.12.25	1860 München - Schweinfurt	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Jahn Regensburg - 1860 München	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	1860 München - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.25	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:1
31.08.24	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2
11.02.24	1860 München - Ingolstadt	3:1
16.09.23	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	2:1
03.04.23	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:3
08.10.22	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:2
22.05.21	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	3:1

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