The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Verl 53.9%
Draw 23.4%
Erzgebirge Aue 22.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.9%
22.5%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
21.4%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Verl - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Aue will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 50.6% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Verl (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 6. Eze J. 8. Waidner D. 30. Gayret T. 10. Taz B. 23. Besio A. 9. Arweiler J.
1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 13. Majetschak E. 11. Uhlmann E. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 8. Clausen M. 9. Bornschein R. 24. Ehlers J.
Substitutes
3. Kohler E. 14. Lehmann P. 27. Onuoha C. 28. Otto Y. 7. Stark J. 11. Steczyk D. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F. 40. Zacharias M. (G)
15. Bar M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 27. Hetzsch F. 22. Lord L. (G) 39. Schmid M. 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Strobl T.
Hartel J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Besio A. ⚽, Mhamdi O. (A),
33', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
35', Clausen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bornschein R. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
66', Eze J. 🟨,
66', Guttau J. 🟨,
67', Simnica L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Arweiler J. (Own goal),
73', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
73', Ehlers J. ↓, Bar M. ↑,
74', Besio A. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
74', Eze J. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
85', Kijewski N. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
85', Arweiler J. ↓, Stocker M. ↑,
90+1', Guttau J. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 5.
Verl is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aue has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Verl is the team to beat.
We predict that Verl will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Verl won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 3.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).
Germany
International
Watch
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Schulze P. (G) 
Mhamdi O. 
Besio A. 
Fallmann P. 
Malone R. 
Steczyk D. 
Simnica L. 
Tashchy B. 
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