The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
22 de Julio 24.2%
Draw 23.1%
El Nacional 52.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
25.5%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
25.3%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
22 de Julio - El Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 3, ⚽,
78', 1 - 4, ⚽,
80', 2 - 4, ⚽,
84', 2 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with El Nacional holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, 22 de Julio has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for 22 de Julio against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
Ecuador
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