Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	22 de Julio		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	5.56	3.81	1.59
	5.57	3.89	1.58	Watch
	5.13	3.68	1.55
	5.48	3.72	1.54
	4.75	3.1	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (4.75)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

22 de Julio
17.3%

Draw
25.2%

Gualaceo
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

29%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

28.3%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

22 de Julio - Gualaceo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

22 de Julio is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gualaceo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gualaceo is the team to beat.

We predict that Gualaceo will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, 22 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.08.26	22 de Julio - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	22 de Julio - Cuenca Juniors	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	Independiente Juniors - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	22 de Julio - El Nacional	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.08.26	Gualaceo - El Nacional	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - Gualaceo	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Gualaceo - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
18.07.26	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	0:1
29.04.26	22 de Julio - Gualaceo	0:0
04.06.25	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	2:2
25.03.25	22 de Julio - Gualaceo	1:1

22 de Julio - Gualaceo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide