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Current Win Probability
LDU Portoviejo 59.8%
Draw 24.1%
El Nacional 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
24.9%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
24%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1%)
LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Portoviejo won 4.
LDU Portoviejo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
El Nacional is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
LDU Portoviejo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, LDU Portoviejo is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, LDU Portoviejo has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:5 (averaging 1.9:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for LDU Portoviejo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.3 per game).