Match Info
Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 1Date: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports 2+, Zapping Sports |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Gualaceo |
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El Nacional |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.61 |
3.60 |
5.88 |
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1.55 |
3.66 |
6.58 |
Watch |
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1.54 |
3.49 |
5.65 |
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1.53 |
3.46 |
6.30 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.5) |
3.55 ↓
(4) |
6.1 ↑
(5.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gualaceo
59% | Draw
25.9% | El Nacional
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Gualaceo - El Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Gualaceo is the team to beat.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 24.07.26 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 0:0 | | 02.05.26 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 2:0 | | Ecuadorian Liga Pro | | | 12.11.23 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 4:2 | | 04.06.23 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 3:4 | | Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 06.10.21 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 4:2 | | 11.08.21 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 1:0 | | 16.06.21 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 1:1 |
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