Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Antonio		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	2.36	2.76	3.27
	2.39	2.84	3.34	Watch
	2.32	2.75	3.26
	2.27	2.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
39.1%

Draw
32.9%

Gualaceo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

32.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

32.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

San Antonio - Gualaceo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Antonio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Antonio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	San Antonio	28	7	12	9	26:32	-6	33

Last Results with these Odds

Gualaceo - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.23%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	San Antonio - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - San Antonio	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	San Antonio - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:1 ✺
03.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLTL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.08.26	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Macará	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.26	El Nacional - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.05.26	Gualaceo - San Antonio	1:1
26.10.25	San Antonio - Gualaceo	3:0
25.09.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	2:2
01.07.25	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:2
23.04.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	1:0
23.10.24	San Antonio - Gualaceo	1:0
05.09.24	Gualaceo - San Antonio	0:1

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