Match Info

PARAGUAY: DIVISION INTERMEDIA - ROUND 28

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	3 de Febrero		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	3.28	2.7	2.3
	3.1	3.15	2.24
	2.6	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.59)	2.93 ↓ (2.99)	2.38 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3 de Febrero
30.5%

Draw
31.1%

2 de Mayo
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3 de Febrero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 3 de Febrero than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-4%)

3 de Febrero - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

3 de Febrero is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

2 de Mayo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

2 de Mayo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches 3 de Febrero won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams 3 de Febrero won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético 3 de Febrero
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.09.23	Martín Ledesma - 3 de Febrero	3:3
10.09.23	3 de Febrero - Sol de América	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	Fernando de la Mora - 3 de Febrero	2:1 ✺
29.08.23	Independiente Asuncion - 3 de Febrero	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	3 de Febrero - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLTL
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.09.23	2 de Mayo - Independiente Asuncion	4:0 ✺
08.09.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	2 de Mayo - Atyrá	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Pastoreo - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
23.08.23	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Santaní	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.06.23	2 de Mayo - 3 de Febrero	1:0
05.08.22	3 de Febrero - 2 de Mayo	0:0
02.05.22	2 de Mayo - 3 de Febrero	0:3
22.08.21	3 de Febrero - 2 de Mayo	1:1

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