Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia (Capiatá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.10	1.95	Watch
	3.40	3.00	2.00
	3.70	3.20	1.98	Watch
	3.75	3.18	2.16
	3.64	3.19	2.1	Watch
	3.70	3.10	2.10
	3.82	3.21	2.02	Watch
	3.40	3.00	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.15)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.04 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
25.3%

Draw
29.5%

2 de Mayo
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quinonez W. (G) 24. Aguero M. 19. Caceres L. (C) 4. Doldan J. 20. Meza Montiel D. 8. Amarilla R. 16. Benitez A. 32. Aragon F. 22. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 23. Ferreira M. 28. Gerzel G.	1. Rossi N. (G) 23. Espinola A. 21. Sosa P. (C) 5. Saiz C. 19. Castro C. 16. Gomez M. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 8. Aguilera A. D. 30. Farina A. 31. Riquelme H. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M.
Substitutes
26. Duarte J. 25. Fernandez K. 31. Franco L. (G) 29. Garcia M. 21. Gonzalez H. 17. Machuca B. 27. Ortiz E. 15. Pinatares B. 36. Rivas F. 14. Salcedo J. 7. Salcedo S. 6. Villamayor H.	26. Aguayo A. 25. Cervera T. 11. Coronel U. 10. Gomez A. 2. Gomez R. 40. Gonzalez M. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 24. Romero O. 9. Sanguina J. 18. Silvero F. 3. Villalba A.
Coaches
Fornasari P.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Aguilera A. D. ⚽, Caceres Aguero F. M. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Aragon F. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Aguilera A. D. 🟨,
40', Doldan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saiz C. ↓, Ramirez Perdesen C. G. ↑,
46', Riquelme H. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
46', Aguilera A. D. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
59', Gomez M. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
61', Portillo Avalos T. G. 🟨,
66', Aragon F. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Romero O. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
76', Castro C. 🟨,
80', Portillo Avalos T. G. ↓, Aguayo A. ↑,
81', Aguayo A. 🟨,
85', Gerzel G. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
85', Aguero M. ↓, Salcedo S. ↑,
90+5', Romero O. 🟨,
90+6', Aragon F. ↓, Rivas F. ↑,
90+6', Amarilla R. ↓, Machuca B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 2.

Sportivo San Lorenzo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

2 de Mayo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sportivo San Lorenzo has had a series of away games.

2 de Mayo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Last Results with these Odds

2 de Mayo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
12.08.26	29 de Setiembre - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Humaitá - 2 de Mayo	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1
17.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:1
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.09.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	0:1
05.06.23	2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1
11.07.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:0
04.04.22	2 de Mayo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2

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