Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 19

Date: 2 August 2024, Friday


	Resistencia		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	2.96	3.2	2.13
	3.13	3.28	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.14	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
29.3%

Draw
28.5%

Deportivo Recoleta
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

27.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Resistencia - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Cabral L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Lezcano H. ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, Gonzalez L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Resistencia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Recoleta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recoleta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.07.24	Atlético Tembetary - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Resistencia - 12 de Junio	0:4 ✺
12.07.24	Pastoreo - Resistencia	0:1 ✺
05.07.24	Guaireña - Resistencia	0:0 ✺
27.06.24	Resistencia - Martín Ledesma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.07.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLT

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