Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Fernando de la Mora		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	9.75	5.25	1.23
	9.8	5.15	1.2	Watch
	15.22	5.1	1.24
	15.00	6.20	1.16	Watch
	14	3.9	1.21
	12.5	5.9	1.15	Watch
	9.8	5.2	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.3 ↑ (9.63)	5.24 ↓ (6.53)	1.2 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fernando de la Mora
7.4%

Draw
17.3%

Libertad Asuncion
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

14%

76.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fernando de la Mora - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Aguilar G. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Chaparro R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Libertad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Libertad as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fernando de la Mora has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sol de América - Fernando de la Mora	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTT
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:2 ✺
02.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
11.09.19	Libertad Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	3:2

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