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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Belgrano 52.6%
Draw 28.6%
9 de Julio 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
28.9%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
27.8%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martina L. (G)
8. Contreras P.
6. Ferrero G.
4. Ferreyra L.
11. Flores L.
5. Gimenez J.
7. Lehmann A.
9. Mercado E.
2. Paiz J.
3. Pennesi T.
10. Sagristani M.
Substitutes
20. Arostegui J. I.
16. Beltran C.
12. Carena J. (G)
15. Forlin M.
18. Franceschi E.
13. Gancedo M.
19. Pastorelli A.
14. Quaranta M.
17. Tarifa G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Ferrero G. 🟨,
24', Contreras P. 🟨,
28', Ramirez P. 🟥,
35', 0 - 1, Varela S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gimenez J. 🟨,
61', Ferreyra L. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Lehmann A. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 3.
In recent matches, Sportivo Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
9 de Julio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
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Martina L. (G) 
Ferrero G. 
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